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With the broad availability of relatively inexpensive
yet powerful computers and desktop workstations, there is growing
interest and activity in tsunami research. Using the latest in
computer technology, scientists are able to numerically model
tsunami generation, open ocean propagation, and coastal runup.
Ocean-bottom pressure sensors, able to measure
tsunamis in the open ocean, are providing important data on the
propagation of tsunamis in deep water, and satellite communications
have enabled these data to be used in real time to detect and
confirm that a tsunami has been generated in the deep ocean. NOAA’s
Pacific Marine Environmental Laboratory has pioneered the
development of these tsunami detection buoys, and by the end of
2003, seven DART buoys will be in operation in the northern and
eastern Pacific and available for use by the tsunami warning
centers. Better equipment and numerical modeling methods are helping
scientists to better understand the mechanism of tsunami generation.
Seismologists, studying the dynamics of earthquakes
with broad band seismometers (20 to 0.003 Hertz), are formulating
new methods to analyze earthquake motion and |
the amount of energy released. Where the traditional Richter
(surface wave) magnitude of earthquakes is not accurate above 7.5,
the seismic moment and the source duration are now used to better
define the amount of energy released and the tsunami generation
potential. Real-time determination of the depth of the earthquake,
type of faulting, and extent of slippage will significantly improve
the warning centers’ ability to identify the likelihood of a
threatening tsunami. Tsunami generation is initiated by
threedimensional deformation of the ocean bottom due to movement of
the fault. Better characterizations of the earthquake fault
mechanism will produce more realistic numerical models of
propagation, runup, and inundation. Currently, numerical models of
propagation generally use an implicit-in-time finite difference
method. Tsunami inundation models, defining the extent of coastal
flooding, are an integral aspect of tsunami hazard and preparedness
planning. Using worst case inundation scenarios, these models are
critical to defining evacuation zones and routes so that coastal
communities can be evacuated quickly when a tsunami warning has been
issued. |
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July 30, 1995, Chilean Tsunami. Model results
showing the maximum runup and inundation relative to the normal sea
level and shoreline (white line) at Tahauku Bay, Hiva Hoa, in the
Marquesas Islands, French Polynesia. Two small boats sunk in Tahauku
Bay as a result of this event. |